Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 3.531424 4.076740 4.679015 5.393699 6.218951 7.142359 8.254631
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 2.825524 3.544675 4.407151 5.518446 6.913875 8.610182 10.832396
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2.225636 3.001173 4.000280 5.383343 7.251750 9.693485 13.136266
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.771344 2.547114 3.612273 5.184228 7.451149 10.611801 15.371891
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.519983 2.316812 3.475982 5.289149 8.064043 12.167930 18.731903
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.270835 2.042324 3.225135 5.175893 8.327484 13.245999 21.557606
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.164088 1.964827 3.253732 5.486627 9.280282 15.504621 26.576037
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.053416 1.860515 3.219487 5.683502 10.069832 17.608585 31.672181
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.931994 1.716853 3.094814 5.701409 10.547585 19.244828 36.206964
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.787206 1.507973 2.823543 5.412188 10.423654 19.787376 38.822566
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.733596 1.459026 2.833425 5.642285 11.295815 22.277011 45.510663
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.704129 1.451489 2.918764 6.028038 12.523488 25.617165 54.402034
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.646594 1.382214 2.879573 6.171546 13.313828 28.265556 62.442969
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.585461 1.296144 2.794030 6.206259 13.885005 30.557442 70.134826
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.511152 1.170080 2.605826 5.989395 13.874327 31.602763 75.236583
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.444261 1.049973 2.412393 5.729200 13.721589 32.303261 79.652129
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.410816 1.001865 2.373471 5.821040 14.406581 35.035867 89.431271
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.366509 0.920954 2.246517 5.681565 14.509284 36.399186 96.039073
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.354722 0.918254 2.306061 6.013346 15.844034 40.998573 111.808870
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.336797 0.897178 2.317167 6.223119 16.898420 45.054300 126.853763
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.310856 0.851135 2.258173 6.238863 17.438970 47.851899 138.932055
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.272684 0.766337 2.085795 5.919779 17.009049 47.966749 143.397132
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.262489 0.757414 2.115545 6.170228 18.230789 52.859670 162.786617